Statistical mechanics is one of the pillars of modern physics. Ludwig Boltzmann (1844-1906) and Josiah Willard Gibbs (1839-1903) were its primary formulators. They both worked to establish a bridge ...

Statistical approaches to emergent knowledge have tended to focus on the process by which experience of individual episodes accumulates into generalizable experience across episodes. However, there is ...

With recent advances in sequencing, genotyping arrays, and imputation, GWAS now aim to identify associations with rare and uncommon genetic variants. Here, we describe and evaluate a class of ...

We study the most basic Bayesian forecasting model for exponential family time series, the power steady model (PSM) of Smith, in terms of observable properties of one-step forecast distributions and ...